Since the bond crisis of 2022, credit markets have emerged as the big winners in the fixed-income spectrum. Boosted by high carry and attractive valuations following the market shock, this asset class has won over new investors, delivering absolute returns often in the double-digit territory. Now is the time to take stock and look ahead to the future of this asset class.
Since 2020, our range of target maturity fixed income funds have delivered an outstanding performance, as demonstrated by the recent success of Carmignac Credit 2029, which delivered a +12.63% performance in its first year of existence, while maintaining a contained risk profile with an average portfolio risk of BBB.
Over a longer investment horizon, Carmignac Credit 2027 has generated a compelling performance of +22.04% since 30/06/2022, while the investment-grade credit index has returned only +10.07% over the same period. Our first fund, Carmignac Credit 2025 has also delivered better performance than its performance objective1 since inception.
Our target maturity fixed income funds have delivered a daily volatility that is 2 to 3 times lower than other bond segments (see graphic 1 below).
On the back of this success, our 3 target maturity fixed income funds have reached €2.9 billion in assets under management2. More than ever, we believe active management is crucial in order to take full advantage of credit markets to build attractive portfolios on a risk/return basis.
Graphic 1: One-year performance and volatility of our target maturity fixed income funds against market indices
We offer opportunistic investment vehicles that aim to seize opportunities across the credit spectrum. Nevertheless, our 3 target maturity funds are managed with very strict guidelines, with a pre-determined investment horizon, strong diversification (more than 250 lines in the portfolio at cruise speed), full currency hedging in euros, and a focus on quality issuers.
Our target maturity funds are also easy to use for portfolio construction. We have a wide investment universe (US credit, Euro credit, emerging credit, financial debt, structured credit) and highly diversified portfolios, enabling us to keep the funds open to subscriptions and redemptions on a daily liquidity basis throughout the life of the fund.
Thanks to their generous embedded yields and high average ratings, our target maturity strategies enable us to absorb adverse market scenarios that could present themselves to us in the future, both in terms of widening credit margins and rising interest rates (see graphic 2).
Graphic 2: 12 months performance scenario for Carmignac Credit 2029 depending of credit spreads and yield fluctuations
Our credit team is composed of three fund managers who have demonstrated their ability to generate performance in a wide range of market conditions. They combine experience in traditional credit, structured credit, special situations and have been working together since 2015.
Their investment process and DNA of our target maturity strategies stem directly from our flagship fund, Carmignac Portfolio Credit, which has won numerous awards and received 5-star ratings from Morningstar and Quantalys. We have been awarded a platinum rating by Citywire for our expertise in corporate bonds3.
Our investment process is based on the selection of opportunities whose fundamental risk is overestimated by investors. We believe in active management and alpha generation and we try to optimize our performance by adding and pruning opportunities when we can improve the risk-return profile of the fund, always keeping in mind the target maturity. As demonstrated in graphic 3, this enables us to deliver returns that exceed the headline yields of our portfolios.
Finally, our funds benefit from robust portfolio construction, enabling them to achieve average investment grade ratings. We attach a great importance to environmental, social and governance criteria: our Carmignac Credit 2027 and Carmignac Credit 2029 funds are in line with Article 8 of the SFDR directive4.
Graphic 3: Contribution to Carmignac Credit 2029 performance since inception
Credit markets are now richly valued thanks to the tightening of credit spreads we have seen since 2022, but dispersion is high and we see many pockets of value that we believe will deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns (see graphic 4).
We remain highly optimistic about sectors such as financials and energy, which are abundant in issuers with robust cash flows generation and solid fundamentals, but which suffer from investors' lower appetite and thus provide extra yield.
Our expertise in structured credit through investments in CLO tranches is also a high added value, since the tranches in which we invest have a very low accident rate, a short duration and a higher yield than traditional instruments.
Finally, the primary markets have been particularly buoyant in recent months, with new issuers that are not well known to the investor base raising capital. We are regularly finding very attractive opportunities in these issues, which should bolster our funds' returns in the future.
For the months ahead, we are confident in our ability to deliver high future performance while maintaining a prudent level of risk with highly diversified portfolios.
Graphic 4: Examples of opportunities benefiting from credit dispersion embedded in our target maturity fixed income funds
*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **The Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088 is a European regulation that requires asset managers to classify their funds as either 'Article 8' funds, which promote environmental and social characteristics, 'Article 9' funds, which make sustainable investments with measurable objectives, or 'Article 6' funds, which do not necessarily have a sustainability objective. For more information please refer to https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj.
Carmignac Credit 2027 | 1.7 | 12.8 |
Reference Indicator | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Carmignac Credit 2027 | + 10.6 % | - | + 8.5 % |
Reference Indicator | - | - | - |
Source: Carmignac at 30 Sep 2024.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).
*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **The Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088 is a European regulation that requires asset managers to classify their funds as either 'Article 8' funds, which promote environmental and social characteristics, 'Article 9' funds, which make sustainable investments with measurable objectives, or 'Article 6' funds, which do not necessarily have a sustainability objective. For more information please refer to https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj.
Carmignac Credit 2029 | 5.3 |
Reference Indicator | 0.0 |
Carmignac Credit 2029 | - | - | + 12.9 % |
Reference Indicator | - | - | - |
Source: Carmignac at 30 Sep 2024.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).
Marketing Communication. Please refer to the Key Information Document (KID) /prospectus of the fund before making any final investment decisions. The Management Company can cease promotion in your country anytime. Investors have access to a summary of their rights in French, English, German, Dutch, Spanish, Italian on the Carmignac website, regulatory information section, at § 6 entitled "summary of investor rights. This document is published by Carmignac Gestion S.A., a portfolio management company approved by the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) in France, and its Luxembourg subsidiary Carmignac Gestion Luxembourg, S.A., an investment fund management company approved by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (CSSF), pursuant to section 15 of the Luxembourg Law of 17 December 2010. “Carmignac” is a registered trademark. “Investing in your Interest” is a slogan associated with the Carmignac trademark. 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In case of subscription in a French investment fund (fonds commun de placement or FCP), you must declare on tax form, each year, the share of the dividends (and interest, if applicable) received by the Fund. A detailed calculation can be performed at www.carmignac.be. This tool does not constitute tax advice and is intended to serve solely as a calculation aid. This does not exempt from having to perform the procedures and verifications incumbent upon a taxpayer. The results indicated are obtained using data that the taxpayer provide, and under no circumstances shall Carmignac be held responsible in the event of error or omission on your part. Pursuant to Article 19bis of the Belgian Income Tax Code (CIR92), in the case of subscription to a Fund that is subject to the Savings Taxation Directive, the investor will have to pay, upon redemption of his or her shares, a withholding tax of 30% on the income (in the form of interest, or capital gains or losses) derived from the return on assets invested in debt claims. Distributions are subject to withholding tax of 30% without income distinction. The net asset values are available on the website www.fundinfo.com. Any complaint may be referred to complaints@carmignac.com or CARMIGNAC GESTION - Compliance and Internal Controls - 24 place Vendôme Paris France or on the website www.ombudsfin.be.
CARMIGNAC GESTION 24, place Vendôme - F-75001 Paris - Tél: (+33) 01 42 86 53 35 Investment management company approved by the AMF Public limited company with share capital of € 13,500,000 - RCS Paris B 349 501 676.
CARMIGNAC GESTION Luxembourg - City Link - 7, rue de la Chapelle - L-1325 Luxembourg - Tel: (+352) 46 70 60 1 Subsidiary of Carmignac Gestion - Investment fund management company approved by the CSSF Public limited company with share capital of € 23,000,000 - RCS Luxembourg B 67 549.